Due to adverse weather, the loss of soybean production in South America in 2021 / 22 is accumulating and becoming more and more obvious. At present, it is still difficult to accurately estimate the production loss.
Some estimate that soybean production in South America will fall by as much as 10 million tons, while others believe that Brazil alone will lose 10 million tons. The loss of soybean production in South America is close to 20 million tons, according to veramir brendaritz, a consultant of brendaritz consulting company.
At present, Brazil is experiencing extreme weather of waterlogging in the north and drought in the south. The excessive rainfall in North Central Brazil has not caused serious losses to soybeans, but it has begun to affect the quality of crops, mainly those at a higher growth stage. Meanwhile, farmers in the South reported that the dry weather had caused irreversible losses to crops.
A similar situation has occurred in Paraguay and Argentina, which means that there is more uncertainty about the real scale of crops in South America. According to the survey of La Jolo group, Paraguay’s soybean production may be reduced by at least 20%, ranging from 8 million to 8.5 million tons, compared with more than 10 million tons in the previous year. Ginaldo Sosa, general manager of the group, said that there is a high temperature in southern South America and the temperature in central Argentina can be as high as 40 degrees Celsius, which brings great concern to farmers.
Moreover, adverse weather often goes hand in hand. Weather forecasts continue to show that there is a lot of precipitation in the northern half of Brazil, while heat wave weather continues to occur in the southern region. The temperature is close to 40 degrees Celsius, and there is very little or no rainfall. Sosa said that as predicted by the US GFS weather model, there will continue to be a lot of rainfall in the Midwest, Southeast and matopiba regions of Brazil. In southern Brazil, meteorological models show that rainfall will increase in the next few days. Rainfall in Paraguay may reach 50 mm. The GFS model shows light rain in Argentina, except Buenos Aires and La Pampa.
The weather forecast shows that until January 6, there was only light rain less than 25mm in the central area of Rio Grande do Sul and Parana. In northern Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catalina, southwestern and northeastern Parana, as well as most parts of Mato Grosso do Sul and central eastern Bahia, meteorological models show rainfall of 40 to 60 mm.
Source: Master Boyi
Post time: Jan-04-2022